Part of the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, PADS ABOVE REPLACEMENT looks at the San Diego Padres from a statistical viewpoint. Whether you're a new Padres fan or a member of the Friar Faithful, hosts Raphie Cantor and John Precoda dive into the stories behind the numbers of the most exciting team in baseball.
This is an fWAR podcast.
Episode 21
Manny Machado's Future with the Padres | PAR
In Episode 21 of Pads Above Replacement, Raphie Cantor and John Precoda get back to their PAR roots and dive into a long awaited player-specific episode -- Manny Machado. What makes Manny Manny at the plate? And to what degree is his future linked to the Padres? Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join the PAR discord and get other great member perks! patreon.com/padreshottub
Episode 20
Padres Pitchers: Projections vs. Reality | PAR
In Episode 20 of Pads Above Replacement, Raphie Cantor and John Precoda turn to the Padres 2023 preseason ZiPS projections and compare how their pitchers have fared compared to what was expected. What are the team trends? How have individual players changed? Opposing hitters hate this ONE trick!
Spreadsheet for reference: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Ttn7JoKpl4TMT4nT-T2gHqqNewh-zeYJ/edit?usp=sharing&ouid=112991917124570452661&rtpof=true&sd=true
Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join the PAR Discord and get other exclusive member perks: patreon.com/padreshottub
Episode 19
Padres Hitters - Projections vs. Reality | PAR
In Episode 19 of Pads Above Replacement, Raphie Cantor and John Precoda turn to the Padres 2023 preseason ZiPS projections and compare how their hitters have fared compared to what was expected. What are the team trends? How have individual players changed? Let's get nerdy with it!
Spreadsheet for reference: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Tts7omwGuCjIX6WGZEMimLrM-bJus0qv/edit?usp=sharing&ouid=112991917124570452661&rtpof=true&sd=true
Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join our PAR Discord! patreon.com/padreshottub
Episode 18
2023 Padres Trade Deadline Review | PAR
Raphie Cantor and John Precoda are back -- the results are in, and the Padres chose to buy instead of sell. Raphie and John break down the three trades AJ Preller and Co. made on Deadline Day and what they mean for the Padres in the short and long term.
Become a patron to join our Discord and chat with other statheads like you! patreon.com/padreshottub
Episode 17
AJ Preller's Trade Deadline Review | PAR
In episode 17 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, Raphie and John are back from a honeymoon break to revisit AJ Preller's trade deadlines as GM of the Padres -- how did those trades add up at the time with the information we had? How did they pan out? Strap in, because this one is a doozy.
Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join the PAR Discord channel. patreon.com/padreshottub
Intro song: "Destination" by Anitek
Hosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda
Episode 16
AJ Preller's Draft Report Card
In episode 16 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, Raphie and John take a fine-tooth comb through each of AJ Preller's drafts from 2015-2022. How did he do at the time? How did those players pan out, either for the Padres or other teams? How did they stack up against the Dodgers?
Become a patron to join the PAR Discord channel -- patreon.com/padreshottub
Intro song: "Destination" by Anitek
Hosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda
Episode 15
2019 Nats, 2021 Braves, 2023 Padres…?
In episode 15 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, Raphie and John investigate the theory put forth by some Padres fans that the team is on the same trajectory as the 2019 Washington Nationals and 2021 Atlanta Braves -- two eventual World Series champions who had slow starts to their campaigns.
Become a patron to support the show and join our PAR Discord for as low as $5/month! patreon.com/padreshottub
Intro song: "Destination" by Anitek
Hosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda
Episode 14
The Padres have an ELITE Bullpen
In episode 14 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, Raphie and John break down the Padres bullpen -- a group that's had an elite first half of 2023, but not in the way you think.
Become a patron to support the show and join our PAR Discord for as low as $5/month! patreon.com/padreshottub
Intro song: "Destination" by Anitek
Hosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda
Episode 13
How the Padres Constructed Their Roster
In episode 13 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, Raphie and John take a look at lineup and roster construction -- what are the basics and how have the Padres fared in relation to what we know about modern analytics?
Become a patron to support the show and join our PAR Discord for as low as $5/month! patreon.com/padreshottub
Fangraphs Article on Lineup Construction: https://community.fangraphs.com/a-lineup-construction-experiment/
Fangraphs Article on Roster Construction: https://community.fangraphs.com/stars-or-depth-what-is-the-best-way-to-build-an-mlb-roster/
Intro song: "Destination" by Anitek
Hosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda
Episode 12
The State of Padres Pitching
In episode 12 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, the State of the Union is strong -- for Padres pitching at least. Raphie and John dive into where things stand now, what the rotation and 'pen might look like in years-to-come, before finishing with a discussion of Padres pitching coach Ruben Niebla (and how we will one day interview him).
Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join our Pads Above Replacement Discord channel! patreon.com/padreshottub
Intro song: "Destination" by Anitek
Hosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda
Episode 11
What's Wrong with the Padres? | PAR May Review
Episode 11 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, reviews the Padres in May -- an experiment in extremes with league-best pitching and defense -- and league-worst offense.
Watch the show on YouTube for visuals to all the data! Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join our Pads Above Replacement Discord channel! patreon.com/padreshottub
Intro song: "Destination" by Anitek
Hosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda
Summer School #2
wOBA and wRC+ Explained!
Summer School continues on Pads Above Replacement as Raphie Cantor and John Precoda break down two closely related stats that comprise much of modern offensive analysis - weighted On Base Average (wOBA) and weighted Runs Created Plus (wRC+). Whether your name is Blake Snell or not, you should tune in!
Check out Fangraphs' explanation on wOBA and wRC+, which are referenced a lot in this episode: https://library.fangraphs.com/offense/woba/ https://library.fangraphs.com/offense/wrc/
Intro: Destination by Anitek
Hosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda
Summer School #1
Wins Above Replacement (WAR) Explained!
On this very special episode of Pads Above Replacement, Raphie and John launch a new series called "Summer School" to break down baseball's most important stats. First up is the perhaps the most important stat in the sabermetric era -- Wins Above Replacement (WAR). What is it good for? Absolutely everything!
Become a patron for as low as $5/month to support the show! patreon.com/padreshottub
Check out Fangraphs' explanation on WAR, which is referenced a lot in this episode: https://library.fangraphs.com/misc/war/
Hosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda
Episode #10
Blake Snell
Episode 10 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, covers Blake Snell -- the Padres starting pitcher with the greatest stuff this side of the Mississippi, but questionable control and evolving pitches which will dictate the next season and beyond for the southpaw.
Become a patron to support the show and join our Pads Above Replacement Discord channel: patreon.com/padreshottub
Blake Snell's Fangraphs page: https://www.fangraphs.com/players/blake-snell/13543/stats?position=P
Blake Snell's Baseball Savant page: https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/blake-snell-605483?stats=statcast-r-pitching-mlb
Intro song: "Destination" by Anitek
Hosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda
Episode #09
Juan Soto
Episode 9 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, covers Juan Soto -- the Dominican God of Walks and potentially first half-billion dollar player in MLB history who currently patrols LF for San Diego Padres.
Become a patron to support the show and chat with Raphie and John on Discord! www.patreon.com/padreshottub
Juan Soto's Fangraphs page: https://www.fangraphs.com/players/juan-soto/20123/stats?position=OF
Juan Soto's Baseball Savant page: https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/juan-soto-665742?stats=statcast-r-hitting-mlb
Hosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda
Episode #08
April Offense Review
Episode 8 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, covers the Padres offense in April (pre-Mexico City) -- a dreadful beginning to what was promised to be one of the league's most electric offenses.
But perhaps there's reason for hope?
Intro song: "Destination" by Anitek
Hosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda
Episode #07
The Catcher Episode
Episode 7 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, covers the San Diego Padres catchers -- Austin Nola and Luis Campusano. What should the Padres do about this position that has long been a black hole?
Watch the show on YouTube for visuals to all the data!
Join our Patreon for as low as $5/mo to join the Pads Above Replacement channel!
Austin Nola's Baseball Savant Page: https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/austin-nola-543592?stats=statcast-r-hitting-mlb
Luis Campusano's Baseball Savant Page: https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/luis-campusano-669134?stats=statcast-r-hitting-mlb
Austin Nola's Fangraphs page: https://www.fangraphs.com/players/austin-nola/15941/stats?position=C
Luis Campusano's Fangraphs page: https://www.fangraphs.com/players/luis-campusano/22217/stats?position=C
Intro song: "Destination" by Anitek
Hosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda
Episode #06
Michael Wacha
Episode 6 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, covers Michael Wacha -- a starting pitcher whose in the midst of a huge transition as he begins his potentially long stint in San Diego.
Watch the show on YouTube for visuals to all the data!
Become a patron to get access to our discord for as little as $5/month
Michael Wacha's Baseball Savant page
Michael Wacha's Fangraphs page
Intro song: "Destination" by Anitek
Hosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda
Episode #05
Ha-Seong Kim 김하성
Episode 5 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, covers Ha-Seong Kim 김하성 - the fan favorite infielder whose future with the Padres in many ways remains uncertain.
Watch this episode now on YouTube!
Become a patron today for as low as $5/mo to get access to our Discord and chat with Raphie and John!
Ha-Seong Kim's Baseball Savant page: https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/ha-seong-kim-673490?stats=statcast-r-hitting-mlb
Ha-Seong Kim's Fangraphs page: https://www.fangraphs.com/players/ha-seong-kim/27506/stats?position=SS
Hosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda
Episode #04
Xander Bogaerts
Episode 4 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, covers Xander Bogaerts - the newest Padres shortstop whose 11 year tenure in San Diego is opening up with a lot of question marks.
Watch now on YouTube!
Xander Bogaerts's Baseball Savant page: https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/xander-bogaerts-593428?stats=statcast-r-fielding-mlb
Xander Bogaerts's Fangraphs page: https://www.fangraphs.com/players/xander-bogaerts/12161/stats?position=SS
Hosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda
Episode #03
Nick Martinez
Episode 3 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, covers Nick Martinez - the starter-turned-reliever-turned starter who could be an X-factor for the San Diego Padres in 2023.
Watch now on YouTube!
Subscribe to Pads Above Replacement's podcast --
Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/pads-above-replacement/id1676765616
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/1zfCpYyhhG350JNP7Qd4pv?si=OGyV37PJSuGWzfFV2LSCKw
Nick Martinez's Baseball Savant page: https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/nick-martinez-607259?stats=statcast-r-pitching-mlb
Nick Martinez's Fangraphs page: https://www.fangraphs.com/players/nick-martinez/12730/stats?position=P
Hosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda
Episode #02
Trent Grisham
Episode 2 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, covers Trent Grisham -- the elite center fielder and mystery behind the plate for the San Diego Padres.
Watch now on YouTube!
Trent Grisham's Baseball Savant page
Trent Grisham's Fangraphs page
Hosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda
Episode #01
Jake Cronenworth
Episode 1 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, breaks down one of the most exciting and evolving players on the San Diego Padres, Jake Cronenworth. Be sure to subscribe on Pads Above Replacement's channel to continue to hear the series!
Watch now on YouTube!
Jake Cronenworth's Baseball Savant page
Jake Cronenworth's Fangraphs page
Hosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda